The Boston Globe
By Charles M. Sennott, Globe Staff
June 11, 2001
Iranian youth like new freedom but want jobs

TEHRAN - In the rugged foothills of the Alborz Mountains, where Iran's
young people often seek refuge from the capital's smog and the Islamic
republic's strict social codes, the talk yesterday was of the reelection
of Iran's reformist president.
Up where they can breathe freely and talk openly, columns of youths were
crisscrossing mountain paths on this holiday marking the birth of the
prophet Mohammed and the day the official election returns confirmed that
President Mohammad Khatami had won by a landslide.
With more than 65 percent of the country under the age of 25, Iran's
youth forms the largest single voting bloc and almost single- handedly
delivered Khatami his victory and what has been interpreted as a mandate
for reform.
In return, young people expect a lot from him. They want to see more
freedom of speech and social reforms, but they want more immediate results
on the economy. They want jobs. And many of them are impatient.
Economists express doubt that Khatami will be able to deliver, and analysts
here wonder if that will merely result in a youthful disenchantment with
the charming cleric or a head-on clash between youth and an aging, conservative
religious establishment.
''You feel like you are under pressure that is going to explode down
there,'' said Suhela Pahlevan, 24, who is studying accounting, as he stopped
in a thin patch of shade and nodded his head toward the northern fringes
of the capital below.
''Khatami wants to ease the pressure. ... But the fact is you aren't
going to find the job you want. You aren't going to have the freedoms
you want.
... So you come up here to take it easy. If you think too hard about
it all, you just go crazy.''
In interviews yesterday with young people in North Tehran, a largely wealthy
and more secular enclave, and in South Tehran, a poorer, grittier, and
more fervently religious side of the capital, it seems the demands on
Khatami are increasing.
For youths in South Tehran, it is harder to get to
the mountain. Many hang out at an old slaughterhouse
converted to a kind of social club, with a library
and some open park space. ''More than anything, I
want a job,'' said Issa Bahadour, 20, who is studying
computer programming. He voted for Khatami. When asked
if he thought he would get the job he wants, Bahadour
said, ''No. I don't expect to get a job at all. That's
the problem. If things don't get better maybe there
will be another revolution. It is possible.''
But Bahadour, eating lemon sorbet as he spoke, doesn't know much about
revolution. Like the majority of Iran's 65 million people, he is too young
to have any memory of the hardships or excesses of the 1979 Islamic Revolution.
This, mixed with a desire for change, has sustained Khatami, but it could
also prove his undoing if the conservative clerical hierarchy continues
to block reform.
''The young people give him their energy and commitment,'' said Mohammad
Hadi Semati, a political scientist at Tehran University. ''But they are
also impatient for change. This creates the potential for serious friction
if the reform movement stalls.''
A glimpse of this potential came two years ago when hard-line clerics
ordered a police raid on a university dormitory, igniting widespread unrest
in cities all over Iran. A brutal police crackdown and Khatami's calls
for calm brought things under control.
In an interview on election day, Khatami's chief of staff, Mohammed Ali
Abtahi, seemed keenly aware of the need to deliver for young people, and
just how difficult that will be.
''Employment for the youth is absolutely the most important issue for
us to address. We are building the infrastructure for economic improvement.
But the youth are funneling into the job market at a very fast pace,''
he said.
That is an understatement. Economists estimate that Khatami will have
to create 780,000 new jobs each year over the next four years to have
enough employment for young people who finish college. And that level
would only mean maintaining the current unemployment rate, which has steadily
climbed to an uncomfortable 16 percent.
''It is a near impossibility that he will be able to create these jobs.
And the conservatives are not likely to try to help him do it,'' said
Fariborz Raisdana, one of Iran's top economists and political commentators.
He pointed out that last year Khatami had his best year of job creation
in four years and even then was only able to create 380,000 jobs.
''The upper-middle class will probably find jobs for their kids, but
the lower classes will stagnate and suffer, and I think Khatami should
be very careful of this and the anger it could create,'' added Raisdana.
Siamak Namazi, director of a firm that helps companies recruit young
people, warned that Khatami must also pay attention to a brain drain in
Iran.
''It's not just unemployment, it is underemployment. We need good jobs.
We need jobs that keep the elite and educated happy or else they are going
to continue leaving Iran. And we can't afford to lose them,'' said Namazi.
Beyond the pressing issue of jobs, Khatami's core
constituency has also been, as young people often
are, quick to forget the gains made. They often forget
just how much the erudite Khatami has tried to change
the harsh and puritanical face of the Islamic Republic.
One teenage boy with a pony tail who was complaining
about the slow pace of reform was asked what would
have happened to him four years ago if he wore his
hair that way. He answered, ''I guess I would have
been arrested.''
Young couples openly hold hands, although only in
certain parts of Tehran. There are fewer raids by
police on private parties, where if alcohol or Western
pop music is found, the people in attendance can be
arrested and flogged. As one 30-something Iranian
put it, ''at our parties we used to hear the doorbell
and everyone froze in fear. Now we hear the doorbell
and we figure someone is showing up late.''
Women, who are especially strong supporters of Khatami's, are allowed
to ride bicycles. They are starting to paint their nails and wear lipstick.
Many women are slowly repositioning their headscarves - which they are
forced to wear under Islamic law - further back on their heads to reveal
more of their hair.
Such changes in lifestyle seem incremental, but the older generation
that lived through Iran's post-revolutionary years under the disapproving
eyes of the mullahs, or clerics, understands just what Khatami has accomplished,
or is trying to accomplish.
Yet many young people still feel constrained by the Islamic strictures.
For some this causes despair, even depression, which is widespread among
Iranian youth, according to youth counselors and psychologists. Up in
the hidden mountain paths of the Alborz, these sentiments of despair could
be heard.
Siavash, a civil engineer in his early 20s who asked that his last name
not be used for fear he could be arrested, said, ''Mr. Khatami was only
a safety valve. He seduced us and didn't accomplish much. I want freedom
and I want a good job. They both depend on each other. I think in the
next four years we are in for more of the same. He will continue doing
what he is doing, which is nothing. We can't blame you in America anymore,
or the first world.
''That's why I stay up here,'' he said, motioning to a ridge that he
washeading for. ''When I come down, it starts all over again.''
© 2003 All Rights Reserved. Atieh BahConsulting.
|